Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils Prediction

Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils Prediction - April 07, 2026

Note: Final picks on our picks page may differ from this article's prediction, as they incorporate last-minute goalie confirmations, injury updates, and live odds closer to game time. Always check the picks page for the most up-to-date selections.

The Philadelphia Flyers travel to New Jersey to face the Devils in what shapes up as a compelling divisional matchup on April 07, 2026. Both teams arrive with identical 3-2 records over their last five games and similar rest situations, setting the stage for a closely contested affair. This Flyers vs Devils prediction hinges on which team can capitalize on their underlying strengths when the puck drops.

Team Form & Recent Performance

The Flyers bring impressive momentum to the Meadowlands, sitting at 7-3-0 with three wins in their last five contests. Philadelphia has been one of the more dominant teams from a possession and efficiency standpoint, and they'll be looking to continue that trajectory against a Devils squad that's posted a respectable 6-3-1 record. New Jersey has also recorded three wins in their last five but appears to be riding slightly less consistent form.

Both teams enter this game with one day of rest between games—a normal schedule pattern—so neither squad faces the disadvantage of back-to-back fatigue. This levels the playing field from a recovery and preparation standpoint, making the matchup truly about which team executes better on the ice.

Advanced Stats Comparison

When examining advanced analytics, the edge clearly tilts toward Philadelphia in this Flyers Devils pick. The Flyers possess a 52.95% Corsi percentage (CF%), indicating they're generating more shot attempts relative to what they're surrendering. More impressively, their 63.52% expected goals for percentage (xGF%) is exceptional—this means Philadelphia is creating significantly higher-quality scoring chances than New Jersey is generating against them.

The high-danger chances metric reinforces this advantage: Philadelphia's 61.11% HDCF% demonstrates they're dominating the areas closest to the net where goals are most likely to happen. By contrast, New Jersey's numbers are respectable but clearly secondary—50.0% CF%, 54.29% xGF%, and 54.12% HDCF%. The Devils are playing solid hockey, but the Flyers are operating at a noticeably higher analytical level.

Goalie Matchup

The goaltending matchup features Daniil Vladar for Philadelphia against Jacob Markstrom for New Jersey. Vladar brings a strong 26-13-7 record into the contest, appearing to be in excellent form this season. Markstrom counters with a 23-18-1 mark, showing more volatility in his performance. Given Philadelphia's superior high-danger chance generation, Vladar should face fewer Grade-A opportunities while Markstrom could be tested frequently in high-leverage situations.

Prediction

According to WP Hockey Predictor's advanced algorithm, the Philadelphia Flyers are favored to win this matchup with a 56.8% win probability, while the New Jersey Devils sit at 43.2%. The numbers strongly support a Flyers victory, driven by their commanding advantages in expected goals and high-danger chances creation.

Philadelphia's superior underlying metrics—particularly their 63.52% xGF% and 61.11% HDCF%—suggest they should control this game at even strength. While New Jersey remains a competitive opponent with solid recent form, the analytical evidence indicates the Flyers possess the sharper team game and should translate that into a victory. Our NHL picks favor Philadelphia in this division showdown.

Want to run your own analysis? Run your own prediction with WP Hockey Predictor's calculator to see how different variables impact the outcome.