This analytics dataset combines historical backtest simulations with live published-pick records after April 11, 2026. Its season totals are not the official published-pick record. The reconciled 2025–26 regular-season record and 2026 playoff record, including coverage and exclusions, are disclosed below and on the Track Record page. View recorded Picks results.
Pick Performance
Pick-type win rates, goalscorer track record, and the model's strongest plays.
ML Win Rate
58.8%
2067W - 1448L (3515)
+1.5 Win Rate
71.9%
588W - 230L (818)
-1.5 Win Rate
57.6%
49W - 36L (85)
-2.5 Win Rate
0.0%
0W - 3L (3)
Win Rate by Pick Type
Pick Type Distribution
Win Rate by Confidence Tier
Over/Under Performance
O/U Record
268W-253L
O/U Win Rate
51.4%
Total O/U Picks
521
O/U by Line Range
Over vs Under
Anytime Goalscorer Tracker
Predictions
1356
Goals Scored
411
Hit Rate
30.3%
Goalscorer Leaderboard
Nathan MacKinnon
23 goals
(47x picked, 48.9%)
Jason Robertson
15 goals
(29x picked, 51.7%)
Kirill Kaprizov
15 goals
(32x picked, 46.9%)
Macklin Celebrini
14 goals
(33x picked, 42.4%)
Connor McDavid
13 goals
(28x picked, 46.4%)
Tage Thompson
13 goals
(35x picked, 37.1%)
Kyle Connor
12 goals
(20x picked, 60.0%)
Jack Hughes
12 goals
(30x picked, 40.0%)
Dark Horse (Value Play) Tracker
Predictions
1108
Goals Scored
272
Hit Rate
24.5%
Dark Horse Leaderboard
Martin Necas
8 goals
(22x picked, 36.4%)
Jack Roslovic
7 goals
(25x picked, 28.0%)
Cole Caufield
6 goals
(7x picked, 85.7%)
Juraj Slafkovský
6 goals
(21x picked, 28.6%)
Nick Suzuki
5 goals
(9x picked, 55.6%)
Pavel Dorofeyev
5 goals
(9x picked, 55.6%)
John Tavares
5 goals
(10x picked, 50.0%)
Nick Schmaltz
5 goals
(10x picked, 50.0%)
Recent 50 Picks
| Date | Matchup | Pick | Tier | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Rangers @ Oilers | Rangers +1.5 | Slight Lean | 1-3 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-09 | Flyers @ Canucks | Flyers moneyline | Confident | 3-1 | WIN |
| 2026-11-09 | Islanders @ Sharks | Islanders moneyline | Confident | 2-3 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-08 | Panthers @ Bruins | Panthers +1.5 | Slight Lean | 1-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-08 | Golden Knights @ Sabres | Sabres +1.5 | Slight Lean | 4-1 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-08 | Devils @ Maple Leafs | Devils moneyline | Confident | 4-0 | WIN |
| 2026-11-08 | Flyers @ Flames | Flames +1.5 | Slight Lean | 3-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-08 | Lightning @ Jets | Lightning moneyline | Confident | 3-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-08 | Penguins @ Ducks | Penguins +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-5 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-07 | Panthers @ Capitals | Panthers moneyline | Confident | 3-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-07 | Canadiens @ Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs +1.5 | Slight Lean | 4-2 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-07 | Lightning @ Wild | Wild +1.5 | Slight Lean | 4-3 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Blues @ Predators | Predators +1.5 | Slight Lean | 1-3 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Devils @ Islanders | Devils moneyline | Confident | 5-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Canucks @ Oilers | Oilers moneyline | Confident | 2-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Penguins @ Kings | Penguins +1.5 | Slight Lean | 5-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Rangers @ Kraken | Kraken +1.5 | Slight Lean | 4-3 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Sharks @ Stars | Stars moneyline | Confident | 3-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Mammoth @ Senators | Senators +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Blackhawks @ Hurricanes | Hurricanes -1.5 | Strong | 2-9 | WIN |
| 2026-11-07 | Red Wings @ Avalanche | Red Wings +1.5 | Slight Lean | 0-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-06 | Blue Jackets @ Sabres | Blue Jackets +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-5 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-06 | Sharks @ Wild | Wild -1.5 | Strong | 1-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-06 | Ducks @ Flames | Ducks +1.5 | Slight Lean | 5-3 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Flyers @ Rangers | Flyers +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-3 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Mammoth @ Canadiens | Canadiens +1.5 | Slight Lean | 4-5 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Blues @ Devils | Devils moneyline | Confident | 4-5 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Canucks @ Jets | Canucks +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-6 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-05 | Stars @ Blue Jackets | Stars moneyline | Confident | 1-2 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-05 | Ducks @ Oilers | Oilers moneyline | Confident | 5-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-05 | Hurricanes @ Islanders | Islanders +1.5 | Slight Lean | 5-3 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-05 | Bruins @ Penguins | Bruins +1.5 | Slight Lean | 6-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden Knights @ Red Wings | Red Wings moneyline | Confident | 2-1 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-05 | Blackhawks @ Lightning | Lightning moneyline | Confident | 1-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-05 | Predators @ Avalanche | Predators +1.5 | Slight Lean | 3-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-04 | Senators @ Sabres | Senators +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-1 | WIN |
| 2026-11-04 | Blackhawks @ Panthers | Panthers moneyline | Confident | 3-5 | WIN |
| 2026-11-04 | Sharks @ Kings | Kings moneyline | Confident | 2-7 | WIN |
| 2026-11-04 | Flames @ Kraken | Flames +1.5 | Slight Lean | 1-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Avalanche @ Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-7 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Wild @ Flyers | Wild moneyline | Confident | 4-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Stars @ Capitals | Stars moneyline | Confident | 6-5 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Mammoth @ Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs +1.5 | Slight Lean | 3-2 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Blues @ Rangers | Blues moneyline | Confident | 1-3 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-03 | Oilers @ Devils | Devils moneyline | Confident | 3-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Ducks @ Canucks | Ducks moneyline | Confident | 5-4 | WIN |
| 2026-11-03 | Jets @ Canadiens | Canadiens moneyline | Confident | 5-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-03 | Red Wings @ Lightning | Red Wings +1.5 | Slight Lean | 2-4 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-03 | Golden Knights @ Penguins | Penguins moneyline | Confident | 3-2 | LOSS |
| 2026-11-03 | Hurricanes @ Predators | Hurricanes moneyline | Confident | 1-4 | LOSS |